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4.0 PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION
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Item |
Estimate
(£000’s) |
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Airport Construction Civil Works |
██████ |
|
Equipment |
██████ |
|
Design/Procurement Costs |
██████ |
|
Supervision/Technical Assistance |
██████ |
|
Contingency (to provide a 70% confidence level) |
██████ |
|
██████ |
██████ |
|
Environment |
██████ |
|
Institutional Development |
██████ |
|
TOTAL |
██████ |
4.3.1
Table 4.1 summarises project costs. Table 4.2 provides a
projected cash flow, which is shown graphically in Figure 4.3. All costs
are estimated in 2004 prices. It is not possible to provide a meaningful
estimate of inflation in project costs over the course of the project. To a
large extent it will depend on the country of origin of the DBO and air service
contractors. If, as is likely, these
are
4.3.2 For illustrative purposes, if an inflation rate of 2.5% were adopted, the total amount in cash prices would be ██████.
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Financial Year |
2005/ 2006 |
2006/ 2007 |
2007/ 2008 |
2008/ 2009 |
2009/ 2010 |
2010/ 2011 |
2011/ 2012 |
2012/ 2013 |
2013/ 2014 |
2014/ 2015 |
2015/ 2016 |
|
Estimated costs (£000s) in 2005 prices |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
|
Estimated costs (£000s) inflated at 2.5% |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
██ |
4.3.2 A project budget is appended in Annex H.
[Figure 4.3 has been removed as it contains information that could prejudice future procurement]
4.4.1 The adoption of a DBO approach for the airport is to ensure timely delivery of the aerodrome, with key risks transferred to the private sector and a seamless movement into operation, with no costs arising from interface risks. It is estimated that the adoption of this approach will result in a premium of approximately ██████ above the tender price that could be expected under a traditional procurement approach, but that the benefits of transferring risk to the private sector will outweigh this.
4.4.2 Once a DBO contract is signed, a significant proportion of the risk of additional capital costs will fall to the contractor. Many conventional Design and Build contracts overrun through lack of clear scope, inadequate basic information, latent defects and client changes or poor project management. The DBO approach is designed to eliminate these risks.
4.4.3 The ability to set out and stick to a procurement timetable will also have significant advantages. The overall net cost of a six-month delay in procurement is estimated to be ██████, i.e. the additional cost of supporting SHG as a result of delayed economic growth, so there is scope for incorporating a financial incentive into the DBO contract for early completion. Similarly, it is possible to build in punitive arrangements for over-runs of cost and time.
4.4.4
Procurement will be via an international invitation to submit expressions
of interest (EOI). An invitation to tender (ITT) will be issued to short-listed
consortia and, based on the responses, invitations to negotiate (ITN) issued to
one or two consortia, leading to best and final offer (BAFO). This process is
expected to take up to a year. Legal advice has been sought in regard to the
status of the European Procurement Procedures in the
4.4.5 Scheduled air services are likely to be procured though a concession agreement with an existing air service provider, based on exclusive rights over a single route. This would not affect the ability of other airlines to operate services to different destinations, though this may have implications on negotiation of the concession. ██████. A charter operation is a possible alternative in the event of low take-up.
4.4.6 Contracts for the DBO consortia and the Air Service Provider will be let by SHG, though it is likely that some form of guarantee will be required from HMG.
4.5.1
Concession contracts with the airport DBO contractor and the air service
provider, and some consultancy support to the Development Board, will be funded
through an estimated ████████.
in Financial Aid. SHG will make
payments against certified invoices, and seek reimbursement from DFID through
Crown Agents. Consultancy
support to the PMU and DFID Access Team will be contracted directly by DFID
using Technical Co-operation funds.
4.5.2 Accounting procedures for the DBO consortia and the Air Service Provider elements will be governed by the financial orders of SHG.
4.5.3 SHG fees, charges, taxation regime and legislative environment relating to inward investment are currently being studied as part of an independent Fiscal Review. The review will also assess SHG accounting and auditing systems. Recommendations from this review will be incorporated into audit procedures for this project. In addition, given that the contracts for this project will be of a considerably greater scale than anything previously let by SHG, it is recommended that the project is subjected to independent annual audits.
4.5.4 DFID procedures will be followed for DFID-procured technical assistance.
4.6.1 The Supervising Engineer will prepare monthly progress reports providing a regular record of airport capital expenditure and achievements.
4.6.2 The DFID-appointed PMU Project Manager will issue quarterly progress reports detailing all project related expenditure to the Development Board, ExCo and DFID.
4.6.3 OGC Gateway Reviews will be conducted at key stages in project implementation.
4.6.4 Formal DFID Output to Purpose Reviews will be conducted jointly with SHG, at annual intervals during project implementation. A comprehensive DFID Project Completion Report will be required at the end of the project.
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